No two Australian households are the same - and neither is what people want and expect from the energy system. Until now consumer choices have been limited by technology, but digitalisation has advanced to the point where it is time to consider a completely new approach. The post 2025 project is working to capture and extend the benefits of digitisation for everyone into the future.
Consumers are already investing in their own rooftop energy generation – the system needs to be able to unlock the full value of that. And we need to be able to do it on fair terms. The industry is now focused on turning networks into trading platforms where consumers can be the drivers of change and regulatory reform will support market development along those lines. We are already seeing more take-up of distributed energy resources like batteries, electric vehicles and smart appliances. They can enable higher levels of domestic demand response, smooth peak demand on the grid and help stabilise the power system – making the most of all the energy in the system, where ever it is produced or stored and opening a whole new world of opportunities for households and businesses.
Failure to act now would mean not being able to maximise the investment made to date and could lead to more investment in networks that may not be needed. either fewer people are able to export solar to the grid or everyone will have to pay more to build new substations and poles and wires that are rarely needed.
Appliances in our homes and businesses are increasingly automated. They are becoming smarter and playing an increasingly important part in managing demand to reduce system costs and save people money.
Consumers – or someone acting on their behalf - can set and forget devices such as batteries, pool pumps, air conditioners and electric vehicles to consume electricity at the cheapest times and export it back to the grid at times when it has the most value. More sophisticated consumer participation like this takes the pressure off the grid and reduces the overall costs of the system. It also generates returns for families and businesses who are investing in smart appliances and distributed energy resources of all kinds.
Two-sided markets will be the next big thing in energy market development over the decade ahead. Two-way trading of electricity will happen in a wholly connected energy market where consumers are rewarded when buying and selling energy in real time.
Everywhere we look we see technology driving broadscale decentralisation. More people are interested in do-it-yourself-generation and motivated to explore how they use energy . Looking to the future - both the demand and supply sides of the energy market would be actively engaged in electricity scheduling and dispatch processes while delivering all the services people expect.
Decisions to consume or not to consume would be valued digitally through any device that’s connected to the internet and remotely controlled. Price signals would automatically switch household or business power from grid import to export and back again delivering services people want at least cost. It would also be cheaper for neighbours across streets and suburbs to share local generation resources and storage devices.
Less generation and network capacity would be needed in a market with higher levels of consumer participation and responsiveness – lowering system costs for everyone and putting demand response in a stronger position to compete with more expensive generation.
The market needs to recognise consumers will seek different services and products, have different needs and risk tolerances and have competing demands outside the electricity market. Their responses to any market signals will be weighed against these demands, or they may not have the ability or motivation to respond at all. The complexity of the market, in terms of the consumer’s experience with engaging with it, also needs to recognised by market design.
Complexity can be a significant barrier to consumers being able to take up the benefits of new service offerings and can lead to poorer outcomes, particularly for vulnerable consumers.
In redesigning Australia’s energy system to be fit-for-purpose for the future, the Energy Security Board has drawn on Energy Consumers Australia work to understand how different types of households might use energy services in different ways.
Through its Power Shift project, ECA commissioned ACIL Allen to develop the Supporting Households Framework. In developing the framework ECA was embedding behavioural approaches, that would support policymakers to target energy services and programs that recognised the diversity of households. This diversity includes differences in income, socio-economic disadvantage, health, and their environment. ECA considered the range of choices a household could make to manage their energy usage and bills, looking at their motivation to make that decision, their ability (literacy, numeracy, etc) and whether they had the opportunity to engage (e.g. renters can switch to a better deal, they can’t install solar panels).
ECA then asked ACIL Allen whether the Framework could be used to consider the impacts of market design and other systemic decisions on consumers, including small business, to help understand where people might be constrained, face barriers to engagement or risk.
The six archetypes developed by ACIL Allen are being used in the Post 2025 Project to understand how different residential and small business customers might respond to various options across the seven market design initiatives (MDIs). The archetypes don’t represent all types of customers, but they do serve to underline that diversity; there remains further work to be done to understand the barriers and opportunities of these proposed reforms, and to help develop information and assistance measures to ensure consumers see the benefits and are empowered to manage risks.
The ESB will also continue to work with customer advocates regarding how the needs of larger commercial and industrial customers can be better met as part of the broader package of reforms.
While services for a two-sided market are emerging, many consumers are not yet receiving great outcomes from the current arrangements. The two-sided market design work is focussed on progressive changes to the market. To improve outcomes the new market design needs to:
- Provide choice and enable innovation. Current arrangements restrict how consumers can access products and services from providers. For example, people can currently only contract with one retailer at a connection point, which means they cannot easily engage with other intermediaries (such as aggregators). We need to consider how we can set up arrangements that can best support the range of ways consumers may want to receive their energy services in future. Consumers should not have to participate or engage any more than they do today, unless they want to.
- Ensure consumers are treated equitably: Many energy consumers have limited means, ability and/or interest in actively participating in markets for energy products and services. It is important that the market design provides choice and easy opportunities for consumers to engage where they choose to do so and have appropriate protections for consumers whether or not they engage.
- Create opportunities to lessen the ‘energy divide’. There are community-based initiatives elsewhere that we may be able to learn from. For example, community-based batteries that reduce local network congestion and improve network access for all types of consumers connected to that part of the network.
- Provide incentives on third parties to partner with consumers. The market should encourage third parties to offer services to consumers that enable them to receive value for the flexibility of their demand or DER resources (that in turn helps third parties to balance their portfolios).